Can Our Political Disconnect End the Middle Class?

t’s Business As Usual; And That’s Why I’m Worried….

I am worried.

Why?


I fear the democrats are wrong. They all believe that the 2004 Election will be repeated in 2008.


That’s a very big assumption.



The truth is that the voters wanted change in 2004; not necessarily because they wanted democrats. Much of the shift in voting was not instigated by democrats but dissatisfied republicans..



And they were willing to give the democrats a chance because there were few, if any, options.



This doesn’t imply or infer that they are going to turn over the entire government lock, stock and barrel to the democrats.



And that assumption is a very dangerous one to make.



Based upon my inductive methods, here’s why I make that claim:



The Republicans are still very strong.



The loyalty of the base continues even if they are expected to hold onto outlandish rationales as to why they have messed up so badly in everything—from Katrina to Iraq.

Mostly, the republican loyalists will accept anything Bush does or says.

They are not concerned about the war—few republicans volunteer!...while many republicans benefit from investments in ammo and weaponry.



They are, however, concerned about conservatism, about taxes, about debt and spending 500 billion dollars abroad. They are concerned about growing government and out of control spending. They are concerned about Saudi Arabia, Iran and China owning us.



Whatever the democrats say or do, they will not serve as a suitable replacement for conservative or right wing interests. So, expect this segment of the voter base to remain solidly in republican hands.



Now, we might also think at the same time with so many juicy issues on our plate, that democrats are chomping at the bit.



That doesn’t seem to be true if my inductive methods foretell future voting habits.



The fact of the matter is that we don’t see much impetus for change out there except among republicans eager to replace Bush with another Republican, one who understands what conservative really means.



The counterpoint seems missing.



Democrats have not heated up; they have not been licking their chops or look particularly anxious to take on the opposition. In fact, they seem rather moribund if you can judge from what’s happening throughout the individual states. Change, if it’s happening at all, is moving at glacial pace.



There is, however, one exception: That is among the left-leaning segments of the Democratic Party who are coming out in droves for everything.



But most of them don’t like the way the party is moving which is not fast enough for them….



In short, there’s a bit of talk but very little action.



The Party structure still seems the same. If anything, it seems to lean more towards the right wing faction of democrats like Lieberman, the leading republican in the Democratic Party who are anxious to find compromise. Compromise on something like a made-up war that has no foundation in fact seems an odd way to go and almost collusive.



At home, there seems to be little enthusiasm for change at the Party structure.



Voting patterns and profiles of candidates have changed little. People don’t seem to indicate that want change in their elected officials at the state levels.



We may laugh at the wooden structures of the ten blue suits who appeared at the Ronnie library to pay homage and mention his name fifty times in the course of one evening and seem anxious to turn the clock back, but the fact remains that the republican party has been working on the upcoming election steadily since 2004 and some may suggest, decades before..



They are strong in organization and spirit and even if they don’t know what a conservative is anymore, they are willing to thumb their nose at us and split our lips any way they can.



If Democrats can’t get enthused about the spate of legislation that has been pouring out of lobbyists pens for the last seven years, then one has to wonder precisely what is the fate of the democratic party under such circumstances..



Historically, we have been lack-luster until the last six months before we coalesce and attempt to stop the republican steam roller which has been in gear for years….



There are few republican individualists among the players. Their positions are already written in stone. And that will be reflected in a homogeneous party that says the same words and does the same thing all over this country.



We don’t seem to get the message. We come in late. And the candidate tailors the message. And the entire budget goes into advertising to those markets where we stand the best chance of a win. If the candidate is wrong, if he or she has the wrong message, we all take it on the chin.



Clearly, when it comes to strategies and tactics, Democrats are at a disadvantage.



But you have to recognize the problem before you do anything about it.



That’s why I’m worried.



In conversations with locals and others, I am seeing more of the same kind of climate I saw when I supported Gore in 99 and Dean in 2003.



Nothing of substance has changed except the growing anger and frustration of the progressive wing..


Neither entrenched attitudes or the business as usual feelings that have circumscribed our opportunities before.


With all of the bad news filtering out of Washington, it seems kind of mind-boggling to see how people have simply tuned-themselves out of the whole buildup to the election.

I see that as a good sign for republicans who will continue what they always do and a very bad sign for democrats who think we can win this without a struggle.



Les Aaron

The Armchair Curmudgeon…






The Blue Blog Moves Up Again! Now, in the top 1/2 of 1% of all Blogs... www.lesaaron.blogspot.com
The Committee for Positive Change

The Book That Republicans Don't Want You To Read: A BLUEPRINT FOR WINNING: TAKING BACK THE WHITE HOUSE 08. Democrats believe that they don't have to do anything to win! THey are wrong!. Studies and research show that Democrats are disorganized and disconnected; that the Republican base is strong and that if the Republicans can coalesce around a candidate, they may take the 08 election making it six out of the last eight elections. THat would be the end of the Democratic Party as we know it!... and the end of the Middle Class...

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