Saturday, March 31, 2007

The Death of the Middle Class?

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News&Views
The Armchair Curmudgeon
March 32, 2007-03-31




Housing, Credit and Jobs: The Dangers
Facing America’s Middle Class

In the past, it was a fairly safe assumption that if the middle class was doing alright, the government would be doing alright, too, and vice versa. But as we now know, such assumptions were naïve and simplistic in view of the last three republican administrations.

Today, the Middle Class is squeezed beyond recognition and the top 5% accrue wealth out of proportion to their numbers so that the top 5% of the population now hold more than 60% of the nation’s wealth. And that executives may be earning as much as 400 times the earnings of someone on the assembly line. These and the results of policies of mergers and acquisitions that sidestepped Anti-Trust regulations and the growing tendency of relying on “off-shoring” and licensing to overseas assets has seen the Middle Class’ stability decline, especially as a result of policies implemented in the last six years.

What that all means may be hard to grasp with all its implications but the nitty gritty is that the Middle Class is considerably worse off than it was ten or twenty years ago and unless remedial solutions are discovered now and promoted, it’s likely that we will become a nation of the rich and poor within our lifetimes.

Consider what has happened to credit, the Middle Class’ lifeline at a time of eroding assets.

For those who experienced credit in the late sixties or early seventies, it was understood that credit was easy to come by and there were very few restrictions. Banks were seeking customers. But the tide has turned. In the last several years, we’ve seen lending banks tighten their restrictions and raise rates.

Despite the increasing costs of borrowing money, borrowers have only increased their demands on the banks. And for a variety of reasons, the credit card company in a growing number of cases has become the lender of last resort.

As jobs travel elsewhere and wages have weakened, middle class homeowner has found himself between a rock and a hard place. For example, in the last decade, average household costs have risen nearly 80% while real wages have declined something like an average of $800 dollars per household since the early eighties.

There is no question that costs that cannot be deferred or postponed have risen in areas like food and energy, while wages for the most part have been stagnant. Consequently, the average homeowner finds that he has to run harder to stay even with where he was ten or twenty years ago.

One of the key factors is the state of the housing industry. For many, household equity was always there to draw on; however, in a much tighter market with equity mainly drained from real estate assets, there are fewer and fewer places for the Middle Class to turn. .

Today, consumers are finding that the credit card, previously viewed as a life preserver, is no longer the source of credit that it was. In fact, many accounts have been maxed out by creditors having few, if any, options. Also, thanks to Congress and a compliant industry, the old usury laws have been tossed out the window to attract banking clients to states having compliant regulations and the result has been that some borrowers could be borrowing at unconscionably high rates in the 19 to 21% range.

In addition, Congress has allowed the banks to demand a larger portion of their principal back from loans extended on credit creating even more pressure on the home owner; nor are debtors facing bankruptcy able to free themselves of recently approved programs that require loans to be paid back.. As a result, more than one in seven people using credit are now in negotiations with credit companies for help. And more than 40% of the population has at least one of their cards maxed out.

This is not a healthy barometer considering that levels of savings in the US by the middle class are virtually nonexistent.

Due to the turn-around in the housing market where there is little remaining equity in a home and credit lenders tightening their standards, there is the prospect of continued home loss and a growing climate for foreclosures; yet the government has lagged in remediation, a problem to the long term economic health of this great nation..

What we are facing is a declining home market, a growing number of illegal aliens, the continued and widespread practice of off-shoring, the growing impact of NAFTA and new economic agreements where Mexico may be expected to be the beneficiary of new jobs from the new economic juggernaut forming at the expense of the Unions and America’s middle class.

In the longer term, what is happening in this segment of the population may influence what happens in the upcoming election more than the Iraq war. Nevertheless, at this stage of the game, very few candidates seem to have the problem in their cross-hairs.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Politicians Clear on Demands; Hazy on Positions

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News&Views
The Armchair Curmudgeon
March 31, 2007

_____________________________________

It's that time again!

Over the past several weeks, it was virtually impossible not to know that somewhere in the background was lurching a very real election.

If nothing else, the fund-raising has moved into high gear and everybody and their mother seems to have mobilized to tap into the gold mine that
Howard Dean discovered several years back.

But there is one problem: Not everyone running for office is Howard.

This doesn't seem to deter the candidates who are flooding the internet with their requests. It seems almost like a hoard of starving sea gulls fighting among themselves so that they don't miss a crumb.

YOu see, the first reporting period ends today and the candidates report will be a reflection of their support among voters....so everyone is scratching everywhere for those extra few dollars that will push them over the line convince convincing voters and big fund raisers that they are capable of running a tough, aggressive campaign.

What this has done has forced those, like myself, whose budget for supporting candidates is limited, to make decisions early. Who is worthy of support? Who is promoting the issues that I can identify with? Do I know?


The trouble is that while the candidates are not bashful to ask for money, they are reluctant to demonstrate their positions so early in the game, which is construed as a strategic error.

Because unless you stand toe to toe on apple pie, no matter which way you come down on an issue, letting the other side know to early is to let them mount a campaign to attack your position.

However, in the process, the voter is forced to buy into someone who may be in line with your thinking, but, then again, may not.

As a result, we the voters who are being pressured to support their candidacies, must make our decisions without full information or a good feeling about who we are supporting.

That may sound like no big deal, but for most voters it means arriving at decisions long before we feel comfortable with who we have been pressured to back.

Consider the fact that there are two candidates who are front runners whose policies we don't even know.

There is something wrong with that picture.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon


The Blue Blog Moves Up Again! Now, in the top 1/2 of 1% of all Blogs...
www.lesaaron.blogspot.com
The Committee for Positive Change

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Friday, March 30, 2007

The Party Where Some Seem To Be A Little More Equal Than Others...

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I joined the Unity 08 group to see what it was all about.

The first thing I did was enter the forum and when I looked at many of the subjects, I thought here was an opportunity to discuss the new treaty among Canada, the USA and Mexico.

I find the secrecy surrounding this whole issue very troubling and put together a new subject for discussion.

Here's the status: To date, it was ruled inappropriate.

Inappropriate? A treaty that is going to create an economic juggernaut that operates within the USA where there is no oversight, where American rules and law do not apply?

There is something wrong here. I am starting to get that feeling that the Unity Party is a party of those who don't want to rock the boat, a party that believes we should all come together and do things in a republican way.

Is this another smokescreen thrown up by the republicans like underwriting the Green Party in the past to dilute the efforts of the democrats who want to bring change and responsibility back to the party?

I don't know; but I am suspicious.

I don't like being told on the one hand that this is a forum and then see my subject treated as N/A.

If this party is truly a party that hopes to come together, why should there be censorship? Why shouldn't the people be allowed to decide for themselves what is appropriate and not appropriate.

It reminds me of a republican pushing democracy where some are a little more equal than others....

We shall see. But this experience sent chills down my spine.

Be wary, my friends, of things that sound too good!

Les Aaron

Thursday, March 29, 2007

The Fickle Finger of Fate...

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Well, in case anyone had any doubts of it,
the man Bush holds hands with has just given him the finger.

According to Abdullah, Americans don't belong in Iraq.

Excuse me?

It's okay if we pull Abdullah's chestnuts out of the fire.

That's okay!.

I didn't hear him complain when Saddam moved into Kuwait about the American presence.

He didn't complain when he sells us oil at 75 dollars a barrell either; and not a word said, when some of his terrorist supporter friends and relatives send money to Al Qaeda.

It's amazing how standards change depending on whether your proverbial ass is on the line.

Abdullah, and his cadre, friends of Bush also raked it in with the Carlyle Group that made money hand over fist with inside information. No complaints from anybody then.

Makes you kind of think about who are real allies are these days!...

Les Aaron

Revealing the Architects of Our Future: The Greedy and the Insane

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Watching Our Planet Spin Out of Control

Anyone who watched Journey to Planet Earth and wasn’t moved, should check their defibrillator or buy cemetery property… Mostly, what they talked about offered not much that was new for someone who eats, sleeps, talks this stuff endlessly but it was a surefire reminder that in the presence of apathy, nothing happens. And it the apathy is bad enough, it can destroy the world. Literally.

The polar bears are still beleagured and likely to die out if something isn’t done to reduce the ice melt. Not much we can do to cure that one at this stage of our neglect. But what many don’t realize is that the Emperor penguins who we all adore are beset with the same problems. If the ice melt continues, it will end their world. They will not be able to trudge to the ocean and back. And their world will collapse.

Some things may not be common knowledge. Like the clubbing of one of the smartest species on earth, the Dolphins who are being killed by Japanese who take a few out of the hundreds they destroy every year for aquariums and shows and allow the rest to die a horrible death. Some might not feel as generous to sharks; but they are a misunderstood and beautiful species perfectly suited for survival if we weren’t killing them by the hundreds of thousands just to get their fins.

During the series, we are reminded that New Bedford fisherman sit idle because there is no more cod-fishing in what was once the richest of spawning areas. The big fleets that roam the seas indiscriminately sweeping the seas like vacuum cleaners and discarding the less popular species are not only destroying sea beds, they are polluting the ocean in a way that will have major consequences for species struggling to survive.

Moreover, these same fleets who have depleted our coasts are now headed to the coast of Africa to take away the one food that sustains African populations; without fish, death from starvation in the poorer countries will soar.

Our apathy will not resolve the short term issues that plague the seas. They will not cure the barrier reefs that are affected by the increased carbon dioxide and growing acidification of the seas; nor will it put an end to a misguided policy of preferring water for the farmers at the expense of the Pacific salmon that returned home to their spawning ground only to discover that damming and reallocation of water resources have left them without a home. More than 100,000 died as they journeyed up the river from neglect.

All of this, of course, is a very sad story and much of it we’ve heard before; what we haven’t heard is an outcry from every decent, well=intentioned citizen who demand that enough is enough. We, the only creature powerful enough to have an impact on our surroundings, have allowed greed to get the better of us.

What can any rational person think except that we’ve lost our minds!...
That we have lost our way; mesmerized by the allure of gold, we have sold out our futures!....

Someone in 1999 asked me, “What difference does it make who I vote for; they will only be in office four years!...”

We now have the answer.

The Armchair Curmudgeon
Les Aaron

Excellent Technology/Pathetic Follow through…

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The Armchair Curmudgeon
March 29, 2007

__________________________________________________





“Katrinizing” the Military!

You won’t believe this….


Our unmanned drone, the Predator, has everyone asking for it. The demand is so great we can’t keep up.

To meet demand, we’ve already shipped 153 Predators at a hefty 4.5 million dollars each.

Sounds like a win-win. Right?

Wrong!

Why? We’ve already lost 40% of them!....

That’s not good.

So what do we do about it? We build more.

But that’s not all!

We don’t have the trained teams to operate them.

And we haven’t anticipated demand.

So, we have a bunch of Predators out there, the ones we can find, but nobody knows how to use them.

Does this sound like the US or not?

You would think that someone would at least get their hands slapped for misplacing over 200 million dollars worth of top secret new equipment wouldn’t you?

But, no, life goes on at the Pentagon as before…

The best technology with pathetic follow through.

Nonetheless, there is some good news.
We are, however, rushing to fulfill demand. Even though it takes three months to train a team.

Hopefully, we will get back in sync with one of our newest high tech, top security programs before the world comes to the realization that Katrina was not the exception,
It was the rule.

Maybe we should outsource the Pentagon, too….

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

It May Affect The Election Outcome More Than Iraq...

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In the past, it was a fairly safe assumption that if your middle class was doing alright, the government would be doing alright also and vice versa.
But those assumptions no longer hold up as the Middle Class is squeezed beyond recognition and the top 5% accrue wealth out of proportion to their numbers so that the top 5% of the population now hold more than 60% of the nation’s wealth.
What that all means may be hard to grasp with all its implications but the nitty gritty is that the Middle Class is tangibly worse off than it was ten or twenty years ago.

One of the best barometers of where credit is going is exemplified by the credit card. When credit was first made available, there were virtually no restrictions. Credit was embarrassingly easy to get and use. But in the last several years, we’ve seen lending banks tighten their restrictions and raise rates.

Despite the increasing costs of borrowing money, borrowers have only increased their demands on the banks. And for a variety of reasons, the credit card company in a growing number of cases has become the lender of last resort.

As jobs travel elsewhere and wages have weakened, the homeowner has found himself between a rock and a hard place. For example, in the last twenty years, average household costs have risen nearly 80% while real wages have declined something like an average of $800 dollars over the same period.

There is no question that costs that cannot be deferred or postponed have risen in areas like food and energy, while wages for the most part have been stagnant. Consequently, the average homeowner finds that he has to run harder to stay even with where he was ten or twenty years ago.

One of the key factors is the state of the housing industry. For many, household equity was always there to draw on; however, in a much tighter market with equity mainly drained from real estate assets, there are fewer and fewer places for the Middle Class to turn.

Today, consumers are finding that the credit card, previously viewed as a life preserver, is no longer the source of credit that it was. In fact, many accounts have been maxed out by creditors having few, if any, options. Also, thanks to Congress and a compliant industry, the old usury laws have been tossed out the window to attract banking clients to states having compliant regulations and the result has been that some borrowers could be borrowing at unconscionably high rates in the 19 to 21% range.

In addition, Congress has allowed the banks to demand a larger portion of their principal back from loans extended on credit creating even more pressure on the home owner; nor are debtors facing bankruptcy turn their back on repayment programs. As a result, more than one in seven people using credit are now in negotiations with credit companies for help. And more than 40% of the population has at least one of their cards maxed out.

Due to the turn-around in the housing market where there is little remaining equity in a home and credit lenders tightening their standards, there is the prospect of continued home loss and a growing climate for foreclosures—an excellent barometer of where the Middle Class stands today.

Despite these challenges to the Middle Class, the government has been loath to make accommodations and the failure rate as a result is on the increase with nearly one million five homes in foreclosure. What this will spell out for the economic health of the middle class is not encouraging—especially in view of the fact numbers of jobs are down and those that are available are part=time and low paying…

In the longer term, what is happening in this segment of the population may influence what happens in the upcoming election more than the Iraq war. Nevertheless, at this stage of the game, very few candidates seem to have the problem in their cross-hairs.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Whatever Happened to Our Icons?

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The Armchair Curmudgeon

March 28, 2007



_______________________________________







Whatever Happened to Our Icons?





One thing that has bothered me immensely

over the past six years is the feeling that all

of the old icons I had become dependent

upon had seemingly evanesced like a whiff of smoke.





Where were all of the great one's, the ones who I had looked upon for guidance in my life and who I turned to in moments of need?



. Aside from the one's who have passed from this mortal coil, what had happened to our elders, our wise men, the "best and the brightest?"



Were they all gone?



Had they changed their stripes? Were they beyond redemption--like the Supreme Court and most Republicans who I had known in the past to be centrist and rational. Was it all now extremes?. Were we all so polarized that we wouldn’t even recognize moderation if it hit us in the face?



I don't know the answer to any of this, I just feel that there must be others like myself who are posing the question.



When I was growing up, there were plenty of roll models from Gene Autry to Roy Rogers, from just about everybody on the old Dodgers baseball team to people like Murray Kempton, Max Lerner and the other liberals and progressives of their day. Our old baseball players didn’t sell their sweat; they were just happy for the privilege of playing the game. There were the people on the radio who we could trust, too, like Gabriel Heater on the radio and Douglas Edwards and the CBS News...There was Harry Trout, and Walter Lippman in the newspaper. These were people who had the courage to tell it like it was. No gilding the lilly here; or distracting us with lightweights who seem not to care….



In Science, there was Carl Sagan and Jacob Brownowski and Stephen J. Gould and others who advanced the scope of our knowledge. None of these people were afraid to speak the truth. There were even politicians with that kind of courage like Eisenhower and Truman and Roosevelt, people from both parties who put the truth over partisan interests. They didn’t take a poll every time they said something.



That doesn't seem to hold true any longer today!



Nobody says anything that might be construed as a position--whether it is the right thing to do or not and it seems everyone is aligned with a party that dictates what they can say or not say.



It is a different world ruled by an amalgam of business and government and it is unhealthy.



Instead of people dialoguing together, we have vast multitudes hidden in fenced communities and the have-nots, those who don't know whether they will even be able pay the mortgage next month. Thanks to the baloney about “off-shoring” and NAFTA being good for us…



This country cries out for leadership and it is slow in coming.



I hope that someday I will be able to trust in a whole new lexicon of icons who I can respect for their intelligence, judgment, fairness, integrity and willingness to tell the truth.



It hasn't happened as yet.



And I hope it is only a temporary thing and that things will be restored to normal once again, but I will always wonder why those few who set the standard are so scarce when we need them most.



Les Aaron

The Armchair Curmudgeon

Imperfections in Our Elections

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They all line up
Like predatory pups
All eager for the prize
Which no one can deny
can reverberate like
A migraine between the eyes…


They call it going for the gold
This contest for one’s soul
But all it may do
Is make one prematurely old


What’s it about?
Natural Selection?
Some impossible confection?
Or something equally fuzzy
Like the National Election;


Someone heard the starter’s guns
And the reporters,
Hungry for blood
Are already quoting blunders
And puns….


For many, it may seem
That there’s no beginning
Or end
But an endless bend
That punishes the young
And the old to ttheir fate
To which they commit,
And do not hesitate


So why would anyone aspire
To submit oneself
To something quite so dire…
The field already looks crowded
And while we’re about it
With candidates who for some
Are already doubted….



For the first time in nearly twenty years
The end of Bushes
Will not bring tears…
There are candidates
From both parties
Who began this thing
Feeling quite lively
And are already wondering what
Have I done
To sink so far
To get it won….



The front runners do indeed
Do look impaled upon their steed…
There is one, a military ace,
Whose used to torture
During the chase…



Another, mayor for awhile
Was known to never smile
Yet, in the face of obloquy
A hero turned out he…



Another, who yearns for the prize
Is considered by many the wisest of the wise
For saying only things that are only safe
Is one way to win the race…


Still another came late to the scene
Who’s been berated
/And patently deflated
For being less t han he seems
Yet, fresh and new…
With no ablutions due
Among those who know
He reflects a golden glow

Unmarked and true
It remains to be seen
Whether he remains
The ultimate dream…



There are senators and UN delegates
Who may discover
That there’s more than they planned
On their plates…
And they’d best their time
On more productive debates…


One is know for his witty retorts
And a cadre
Of worthy cohorts…
But he’s already mispoke
When he spoke of another
As if he were a joke….
With apologies due
His chances he did skew



A couple we know little about
Except that they’re candidates
Who showed up for the bout
When all is said and done
The very likelihood is
That one of them
Will have won



So the process
Goes on unabated
With many egos
Punctured or
Soon to be Deflated,
It seems to be
To that which
we are fated.

We hope the outcome
Will make us proud
Or at least get us out
From behind
This impenetrable cloud…
Inserted Above our heads
By the Clean House crowd
Attacked for hubris
By Margaret Dowd


And let us pray
For Republicans in denial
That Not all of them
Will have to go on trial…


Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Economic Juggernaut to Supplant 200 Years of Democracy

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News&Views

The Armchair Curmudgeon

March 27, 2007





A Replacement Model for America Without Protections?



Do you smell that?



There is a strange cloying odor descending on us from the direction of the White House…

Quite clearly, there is something foul in the air that we have not been told about--something that wreeks of s. kullduggery and perfidy.

Something that wears the happy face to cover up a frightening prospect that some say could change our world.

Something that has the waters of the Potomic spinning out of control in anticipation of a feeding frenzy.



Something that is currently operating under a black cloud of deception that demands answers; but none are forthcoming..



This “thing” It is the Hanger 51 of Bush policy; something we’re told doesn’t exist but we see evidence of it everywhere. Something that bears the most innocuous of names to keep us off guard but poses the danger of replacing all the safeguards and oversight that has been at the core of the democratic model for more than two centuries..



And judging from what we know, it is growing like the Blob, and is reaching a point where it may no longer be contained.



For years now, we have had hints of something brewing.

The French socialists have warned us about it more than a dozen years ago.. There have been articles and books about it in Europe. And clandestine groups like the Bilderbergers and the Council on Foreign Relations have been implicated in this mysterious enterprise... Even Bush Sr. has hinted at it.

But we are no better informed now then we were then.



What I am referring to is the physical manifestation of the New World Order writ large, an amalgam of North American countries including Mexico, Canada and the US into a Super-Entity, something that those complicit in its birth refer innocuously as the Security and Posperity Partnership. On the surface, as innocuous a confederation as anyone might conceive, but below the surface, the potential for reengineering everything that makes America America is very real and very threatening to the very notion of democracy and western hegemony..





Economic leaders and government officials, blatently in bed together, repeat that what they are involved with is a new security partnership that will make America safer. It must be noted that they say this with a straight face. However, most of us are no longer taken in by fancy innocuous-sounding words and phrases like“down-sizing,” “off-shoring,” and “Clean Air” that seem to seem so bland and noncommittal but as we’ve learned, can be life-transforming.



The power of the word was not lost on the likes of Lee Atwater, the architect of of using psychology, language and mind control to control, influence and shape perceptions in the world of politics. This technique is now being used to shape an economic powerhouse that nobody is willing to talk about.



And therein lies our concerns..



What we do know is that this is much bigger than the government would have us believe. Many are afraid that the governments’ of Mexico and Canada and the United States are hard at work building not just a union for protection, but an economic juggernaut. A juggernaut that has its beginnings in NAFTA, an economic agreement that has changed our conception of how economic agreements are configured inside of a democracy. For the first time, we were asked to buy a new trade agreement with blinders on; not understanding how NAFTA truly operated to remove non-economic forces from the decision process.



Bush tells us that the new Partnership is about security for North America. But doesn’t fill in the blanks. And if you believe what he says, he will tell you its about anti-terrorism. In effect, what they infer is that this new agreement will improve our protection against terrorists. Despite that extravagant claim, nobody mentions the fact that we have not even demonstrated the ability to cover our own borders much less an economic block the size of North America…



So, what’s wrong with the picture?



The problem is that this burgeoning economic Blob will suddenly appear full grown and we may find it hard to stop; moreover, from what has been revealed, it would operate autonomously, without oversight or control. That’s the point: It will operate within and without our borders and we will not be able to control it.. For the first time, an economic unit with vast tentacles north and south would be able to operate without conforming to rules, laws, policies that were framed to protect the people. America would simply be irrelevant to this economic model which would exist for one thing: profits. In effect, this mega-unit becomes a sci-fi interpretation of a corporation on steroids that devours the world.



But is this real or only a joke. We wish it were only a joke. The fact is that already more than 150 giant companies have signed up to participate and that is only the tip of the iceberg.



The physical aspects of this juggernaut include multiple multi-lane giant highways that will sweep north and south facilitating the movement of product—and people—north and south bypassing our government and the rule of law. The potential for conflict cannot even be fathomed.



Judging by the little that’s leaked out. , under the new system, there will be no oversight; there will be relief from taxes; there will be no rules governing how these players will operate on what we had always considered American turf. America will be America without control of its assets, its underlying businesses that will now operate in some unknown ether that inverts the notion of a democracy, protecting the asset over the American people.



As near as we can tell, this is the closest thing that we have observed that comes close to crystallizing the concept of the New World Order referred to by the Bush family.. We understand from other reports that the Council on Foreign Relations and the Bilderbergers are intimately involved with the workings of this supra-secret, super economic unit that Bush&Company view as the unit that will ultimately replace government…and that by itself should trigger our whole inventory of red lights..



Let us not lose sight of the fact that Bush & Company have promulgated the most radical of Republican theories that suggest that there is no need for government; no need for taxes. Although government has grown faster under Reagan, Bush Sr and Junior and as a result of their self-serving policies, we stand to be up to our necks in debt for the next several decades, make no mistake about it: the Security and Prosperity Partnership represents the republican economic model for the future.



And while this is only a summary of lots of speculation and very little fact that has managed to surface at this time, the challenge is clearly there and the Courts may ultimately have to decide whether our leadership has been disloyal to the country it has sworn to serve; nevertheless, the gauntlet has been laid down and how we respond to it now will clearly determine what our futures will be.







It is certain, however, that our Congress must take on the onerous task of learning everything about the potential for damage possessed by this building economic juggernaut before it is let loose. Otherwise, we may preside over an America that will move from SuperPower to Colony to a land mass governed by Washington without resources or control of what happens to business and industry within its borders , and consequently at the mercy of these new Robber Barons…



We must therefore respond To the cowboy challenge. Are we “with ‘em” or “against ‘em?”



Les Aaron

Monday, March 26, 2007

The Sixty Minute Yardstick

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The Armchair Curmudgeon

March 26, 2007



__________________________







Edwards and the Sixty Minute Yardstick:



For anyone who is a survivor of some catastrophic illness, like Cancer, who has listened to the reasons that the Edwards family has chosen to continue with its presidential campaign, you have to applaud their thinking. And acknowledge that Elizabeth is right.



When you are visited with such news, you are confronted with mainly two choices: You either can fall apart and start feeling sorry for yourself; or pick yourself up and move on.



For them, and virtually everyone I’ve known who’s contracted a serious disease on a par with Cancer, the right decision becomes one of moving on with your life.



As Elizabeth pointed out, everyone is going to die sooner or later from something; the main difference between Elizabeth and anyone else is that she is likely to know what will most likely cause her death.



Moreover, it is true: Nobody knows what tomorrow will bring to any of us. And it behooves us as human beings to make the most of what time we have left on this mortal coil..



The Edwards family have made their decision. And most of us agree it is the right decision.



Elizabeth believes with all of her heart that her husband can make a difference and she doesn’t want her legacy to be that of a wife who in her selfishness denied her husband the opportunity to afford the people of a president who really cares about the country and its people.



I thought about their interview by Katie Couric on Sixty Minutes last night and how little privacy those who run for public office are afforded. During the interview, I thought that Katie was being unrelenting in her questioning and that perhaps a smidgen of politics has motivated her persistent interrogations. . Later, I changed my mind but only if that same yardstick were applied across the board to everyone running for the highest office in the land.



Why isn’t someone’s mental health just as important as their physical health?



As human beings, we are often subject to human frailities and tend to follow someone who exudes a certain amount of charisma over the more objective criteria of whether they are qualified to hold the highest office or whether they are capable and qualified to make the kind of decisions that we will have to live with as a people?



We should understand whether we are voting in an egomaniac or someone who wants to take advantage of the system for their own ends . And, perhaps, this kind of scrutiny is what’s needed to help us avoid making bad election decisions.



Why not then, if we are going to expose the Edwards to this kind of scrutiny, why shouldn’t we apply the same criteria to all of the other candidates. At the very least, it would give us, the voting public, an opportunity to understand what makes those who choose to run for president the very best candidates available. It also serve as the first step in screening out those not capable or fit to rule; or those who see their own agendas and ambitions clouding their ability to make the kind of decisions we would expect of our leaders.



Fifty years ago, a vice presidential candidate was publicly denounced because it was reported that he had been treated for Clinical Depression. Another candidate at that time was considered unfit because it was claimed that he cried when delivering a speech.



We have certainly broadened our horizons since the dirty tricks of Donald Segretti, but when it comes to electing a president, we still do not have the kind of criteria in place for judging who might or might not be fit to fulfill that role and increasingly with all of the power that such an executive wields, it would be judicious to consider having all candidates divulge their backgrounds, status of their mental and physical health and other criteria that could be instrumental in the public’s decision as to how to vote.



After all, the playing field should be level and as voters, we should be entitled to know who we are voting for and whether they can fufill our expectations.



Les Aaron

The Armchair Curmudgeon

www.lesaaron.blogspot.com

A Formula For Failure...

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The Armchair Curmudgeon
March 26, 2007




Formula Approaches Don’t Win Wars

We are into our fifth year now and seem no closer to our objectives than we were when we set out
to win the hearts and minds of the Iraqis and dispose of their wicked dictator Saddam Hussein.
At the time, it was our intent to root out terrorism wherever it could find a foothold, a noble but unrealistic goal
Considering how we approached the challenge.
.
But after five years, the question remains what have we accomplished.

Let’s look at the terrain. Despite our efforts, it is clear that the Tailiban have reformed and preparing for their spring offensive. Considering what’s happened throughout Europe, and most recently, in England, the forces of Al Qaeda are alive and well and raining down destruction on the West wherever they can.

Why did we fail to wipe out the terrorists?

Good questions seem to beg additional questions…

Might it be that we that we are treating Al Qaeda like any common enemy? Might it be that we are using conventional military solutions that demand a variegated response that employs all the tools accessible to a nation like the US, from diplomacy to influence peddling, to counter-terrorist tactics that work? Might it be that we didn’t listen to Sun Tsu’s advice?
.
As of now, it seems that we have largely applied conventional solutions. We have not bothered to look under the tent; nor do we understand what makes our enemy tick. This is apparent listening to the discussions that reverberate around Washington these days.

As Sun Tsu, the Chinese general suggested in the Sixth Century, you cannot win in this kind of warfare unless you understand your opponent.

We have not made that kind of effort; nor are we set up to establish the framework for an antiterrorist movement that will get results. Our approaches, to date, to the challenge terrorism has been prosaic and predictable and as a result, the fores of Al Qaeda have stayed ahead of us every step of the way. To win against an unorthodox opponent, you have to be willing to apply unorthodox solutions.

Americans have not seemed to have learned that lesson.

In the Washington Post, today, Bruce Hoffman, a professor at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service and senior fellow at the U>S. Military Academy’s Combating Terrorism Center, seemed to offer one of the best explanations for our failing policies.

. Hoffman pointed out that China’s Sun Tsu, the great general, said that “if you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles…”

According to Hoffman, in five years, we have not made progress in learning that lesson. We fail to look upon the challenge as systemic and requiring a radical restructuring of the way we do things.

We have relied on only one tool in our bag of tricks and it has failed us mightily: armed might, a tactic we have used since the days of fighting the Chinese in Korea or the Viet Cong in Vietnam although we did learn to interrogate the enemy and use what we learned eventually to formulate strategy—something we have not taken advantage of in our continuing opposition to terrorism.

According to Professor Hoffman, while our current policies continue to emphasize attrition and decapitation, those strategies have “rarely worked against terrorist or insurgent forces.”

Hoffman goes on to say, “that successfully countering terrorism and insurgency cannot be an exclusively military endeavor. It requires parallel political, social, economic and ideological activities. All of these need to be integrated in a systematic approach that is operationally dynamic--able to quickly identify changes in our enemies’ tactics, targeting and recruitment patterns and to respond effectively to them.”

All told, says Hoffman, “the key to success will be to combine the most utilitarian aspects of our formidable military forces with smart, sophisticated political and psychological efforts to know our enemy much better than we do today….”

Professor Hoffman is of the opinion that America can win; however, in order to do so, we need to
deal with the primary question of identifying who our enemy is, how they think and operate and what makes them tick. Implicit in what Hoffman says that we cannot expect success until we establish the machinery and methods to answer and deal with those questions.

That kind of incisive thinking is hard to argue against. While it’s doubtful that this approach will be adopted or influence the status quo in Iraq, the formula could change the overall course of our tactics in defeating terrorism over the long term.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Sunday, March 25, 2007

Are We Candidates for the "Dead Dog" Society

A detective story unfolding describes the pursuit of the culprit in the recent investigation by Cornell University of the source of the toxin that has been implicated in the death of more than a dozen pets in America.

The Canadian pet food company held responsible, which ships to retail stores around America under some ninety different brand names, revealed that it had switched suppliers for an essential ingredient. This ingredien, gluten, was being provided by a Chinese source. Here’s the kicker:

It turns out, this same Chinese source uses rat poison in the field as a pesticide.

According to the US government, food products, or products used in food, must be separated into human and non-human grades before they are accepted for import.
However, and here’s the small print, more than 80% of imported foods are not tested or subjected to analysis before they are distributed to food suppliers.

If a red light is flashing, don’t feel like the Lone Ranger.

This could be a time bomb clicking for Americans and the loss of our pets should be viewed as the canaries in the miner’s lamp.

It is unfathomable to most rational thinking people that this country would allow imports into this country without steady and comprehensive testing.

This failing on the part of government shows neglect at the highest level and the dangers of rewarding unqualified people with high level positions. It is imperative that the appropriate agency should be called to task for allowing such violations of the public trust to continue unabated. It is the Katrina effect writ large!

Americans need to press their representatives to legislate for immediate change to prevent contaminated foods from entering our country and for much stricter measures domestically in the inspection and monitoring of all food products. In the meantime, all of the gluten in the US imported from China, whether human or animal grade, should be considered suspect and banned immediately!

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Friday, March 23, 2007

Catharis for a Wounded Country: A New Constitutional Congress

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The Beginning:


An Appeal to People of Good Sense::



To Accept What Has Transpired Over the Last Four Years Without Serious Introspection, A Judicious Review of the Constitution and the Rule of Law Would Be Not Only be an Opportunity Lost… but a Step Backwards!...


The arguments for a convening a new Constitutional Congress…


After four years of abuse of citizen’s rights, a failure to govern and a fixation with special interest groups, this government has demonstrated that it is not equal to the task of fulfilling its mandate to the American people. In this and many other ways that this government has chosen to make and manipulate policy, it’s willingness to reinterpret the truth, lead by misdirection and other failings of leadership, it behooves America to rethink all aspects of not only how government should work but how it can be manipulated to work for the benefit of the few over the many. In view of what we have experienced, it would be a violation of good conscience if we were to ignore the problem rather than deal with it. The saving grace in a society like our own is the people of good will and the talent that we can bring to a challenge. It is the recommendation of this paper that we, as patriotic Americans, convene our best minds in order to discuss not only what has happened to our society, our government and the world and to find solutions that will make our government better and heal the challenges that we face as a people in the pursuit of a democratic way of life. Without clearing the air, it would be hard to move forward again as a country that is true to its democratic roots, a government that serves as a constant, reliable and ethical role model for the world.

For all intents and purposes, and our national health, we feel that it is not only expedient but essential that we begin the process of catharsis and national healing. …

This administration has taught us a valuable lesson. That we, as a democratic people, cannot simply assume that our democracy will provide us with a continuing supply of good and capable leaders; moreover, it has taught us that we can never leave down our guard when it comes to protecting our rights and freedoms as citizens; in this context, it is essential that our rights and freedoms be preserved and it is in our interest to review our protections and, in the process, explore whether we have sufficient safeguards in place to guarantee our democracy’s continuity and ability to withstand threat both from without and within.

In our overwhelming belief in our way of life and our democracy, we have tened to ignore the warnings of the social philosophers, like Diderot, who have remarked that democracy such as it is is a particularly vulnerable form of government that can be transformed into something other than a democracy without any immediate outward manifestations of those changes and, therein lies the danger.

Nor do these lessons end here.

This government has taught us that we may sometimes elect leaders who truly do not have our best interests in mind. Charismatic leader who are not necessarily possessed of the requisite skills for good governance; would-be leaders who, nevertheless, seek out these positions for their access to power and self-benefit and the opportunities they confer for the exercise of narrow scope agendas.

Until now, it has been presumed that the cream rises to the surface and only the best of the best of the available talent pool would feel qualified to pursue the highest office in the land. But we were both naïve and wrong in our assumptions and now we need to seek redress so that democracy is not victimized again.


Over the last six years, we have also discovered that people can advance into positions of power who do not see America as the way its Founders did; who do not accept the notions of the Separation of Church and State, who do not agree that each house of government should have equal power, who feel that their decisions should carry the weight and authority inferred in a monarchy. We need to be wary of those who choose to unilaterally change the basis of government that has stood us in good stead and has served the people of this great country for over two hundred years and has been seen as a model for all governments by rational people around the world.

It has been an expensive lesson, but, hopefully, we shall recognize that is important that we do something to assure that we will never be placed in the same position again; where there is no dialog, no debate, no appeal to rationality and no effective diplomacy among nations, causing America as a great nation to expend its capitol for little good reason. If we aspire to the perpetuation of our democracy, it is right and fitting that the rule of law become our first priority.. .

To aspire towards the highest form of government and encourage leadership that serves “at the pleasure of a the people, “ it may be timely to critically review what went wrong over the last seven years and try to learn from the experience. As part of the questioning process, it would be fair and right to to review our experiences and decide whether our government after two hundred years, still conforms to the original intent established by the Framers of the Constitution and/or whether or not changes are in order in the way we select our candidates, and the way we conduct elections that allows private interests to invest tens of thousands of dollars through a variety of mechanisms of special interest that may tend to place the candidates willingness to cooperate over their qualifications for the job as well as other aspects of government that may be revealed upon closer inspection. . In effect, in order to purge those aspects of government that are inconsistent with our purpose to return to the fundamental kind of government we were envisioned to be and provide the necessary level of catharsis, we advocate an examination of all aspects of our government from an objective, third party perspective that is immune from politicization and devoid of personal motivation.


To decide this, this paper proposes a National Convention of the best and brightest as a fundamental starting point to run concomitantly with a national debate by the people of this land.

Suggested points include:. It should be our intent to return to a model democracy and to do so, we recommend that we search out and convene a body of people from all parts of the country and all walks of life for the purpose of a review of government at which time there will be no provisions that are sacrosanct. Their purpose: To discuss this subject of our government from all aspects and attempt to decide how we can assure that government serves the people; not those leaders who cater to special agendas. How we go about this and whether we begin at grass-roots levels or centralize the debate initially is yet to be determined. But it is essential that this group avoid any semblance of politicization and be composed of those whose love of this country and what it stands for is preeminent.

If there is support for the idea that it is timely to review our most important documents, the Constitution and the Bill of Rights and the process should be an open one, in contrast to the recent elections whose results are questioned by virtually everyone. It must be decided whether the provisions set forth two hundred years ago are equal to the task today;or, conversely, whether we should return to those guidelines in formulating today’s policies, procedures and methodologies.

As part of the process, we should not end there but out of this process, should evolve a new volunteer body , a body of our peers to stand in judgment and serve to advise our Congress and other branches of government as Ombudsmen for the public good that will serve to provide guidance on ethics, and behavior, issuing warning for those who stray, reprimanding those who are guilty, or if the charges are serious enough, to sever their relationship immediately with the option of judicial review over time. In effect, this group would assume a role that would be equivalent to the supervision of the three other main bodies of Congress that are supposed to be looking out for our interests as citizens but, instead, have been cowed or manipulated by the party in power to play virtually a non-existent role in the preservation of our democracy.

Such a body would be composed of elder statesmen, men and women with sterling credentials, who are committed to the country and the preservers of our precious founding documents. They would include people who have spent their lives in pursuing the ideals expressed in our founding documents; they would constitute the ultimate form of checks and balances and could use the power of the press, public opinon and referendums to effectuate needed change including elections within the term of any representative including the president.


The Convention, in its idealized form, would provide a forum for wide-ranging discussions on the nature of government and our ability to satisfy what a government should be and how it operates in the year 2000. Nothing should be off the table.


Among the possibilities for discussion:


Is our present form of government adequate to our needs?...…

Do we need to make changes to our democracy to assure that the democratic process is not held captive again by a motivated leadership?…

Can the provisions within the Constitution be amended to make necessary replacements in the law to replace key officials who do not demonstrate the ability to govern wisely or lead this great nation that circumvents the need for Impeachment and obviates the need to subject the nation to further turmoil..

Can we assure the people that our Justice Department does not become politicized to the detriment of its avowed purpose; and can we be sure that the Supreme Court will provide objective findings that do not cater to a political interest.

And can Justices be disbarred if they fail to meet the test of objectivity in their decisions.

In other words, there should be provisions within Congress to test the powers of the Justice
system to assure that it functions in the best interests of the people and that corrections should be made at any time and not necessarily be limited to fulfilled commitments.

Once these issues have been fully spelled out and articulated, it would be the responsibility of this special body to recommend changes where necessary with special elections or referendums soliciting the views of the people. Ultimately, it would be the people who would decide the outcome through black box technology or national polling. Yes, all results will leave a paper trail. As envisioned, the all volunteer body would be subject to review and al vote by state and would be a continuing operating body with suggested term of six years. It would require a sixty percent vote of the body to place a subject up for referendum and a vote.

The need is imperative if we are to resolve the current abuses and the persistent failings of the system that had once separated business and government. That no longer exists.

. For example, under existing provisions, it is alright for politicians seeking election to cater to business within their districts; thereby, making it difficult if not impossible to rule on violations by businesses that impact the public. This is a conflict of interest that did not arise when representatives were elected by the voter in absence of TV advertising; today, the formulae has changed and our political process has stayed the same and this is a source of concern to citizens concerned about he growing possibility of collusion and corruption between government and the business sector. The Founding Fathers were not plagued with this problem when the Constitution was written and it was thought by the Framers that government, in and of of itself, would act as a check on outrageous acts by the private sector incompatible with the public good.

Other areas of concern deal with the lawfulness of government’s ability to either postpone rulings, write exceptions to approved laws and to even sideline our fundamental documents and have them superseded by the government in place. This is appalling and not what the Framers had in mind when they wrote the Constitution.

In the past seven years, violations of the spirit and will of the Constitution that give our Democracy its strength were set aside in the interests of expediency in an almost arbitrary manner.. This is a critical misinterpretation of the way our government should work with no one, including the president, being above the constricts of the law.

We have seen such abuses over the last six years erode our freedoms and our conception of how a democracy operates. Such violations ran the gamut with government leading the charge. Included was the decision for government to arbitrarily decide in the wake of the threat of “antiterrorism” to take it upon itself to invade citizens privacy, to suspend habeas corpus, and to deny citizens accused of wrong-doing of their rights to seek legal advice. These and other forms of suspension of the rights afforded us under the provisions of the Constitution have been applied willy=nilly with the current Executive having final rights without the force of discussion or debate in direct violation of the law of the land. In effect, the cure for the nation at large may be more severe than the illness…

It would seem that the provisions of the Constitution that have well served this country for well over two hundred years should not be arbitrarily abandoned on the say-so of an elected official; the law always supersedes the power and authority of any elected official right up to the office of the president.

In so admitting, it is important that we, the people, take the necessary action to assure generations that in the future they will not be made a party to precipitous actions that are arbitrary and without precedent and do not reflect the ideas and spirit of the Constitution or the long term interests and pursuits of the American people..

It is time to figure out how to make our government immune from arbitrary dictates that may not be in the best interests of the people and sufficiently flexible to respond to any challenge from within or without; we must institute reforms to protect checks and balances; and we must have effective mechanisms for dismissing those at any level of office who do not have the Nation’s best interests at heart as determined by the concensus of peers.

\In the past six years, we have learned that it is possible for a president to be elected to office who caters to a narrow minority of special interests and that a president does not have to fulfill his role to protect the interests of the majority and that he can use the power of his office to arbitrarily make treaties or cater to narrow interests. We have learned to our chagrin that policies and legislation may be written and promulgated by agents of those who would benefit most with Congress rubber stamping them without even reading their provisions. We have discovered that the president can pass a law and then add exceptions to it in private that he will not abide by. We’ve learned that it’s possible to politicize the Supreme Court ( a la their interference in the elections of 2,000) and the Justice Department even though such ideas find no place in our fundamental documents on which this democracy has been formed.

While these allegations are troubling to make, they are even more so to admit to and discuss but people of good heart and honest intent must rise up to assume their responsibilities in a free society or we are no longer free.

We’ve also learned that in the course of six years, that the government has it within its rights to invade a citizen’s privacy without the approval of the Courts; and that in so doing, it’s also within the government’s rights to deny that citizen his rights and the rule of habeas corpus.

We’ve learned that the Executive can assume the right to make treaties as it sees fit without first consulting Congress as was originally intended by the Constitution. It is also within the provision of the Executive to make a case for war without providing full information that supports that conclusion from which there can be no drawing back..

Presently, as we understand, the attempts at deception and misinformation go on unabaded. For example, there are plans to establish a North American treaty that will include a highway system that goes from Mexico to Canada. What will travel on this system will involve an organization that has no responsibility or commitment to the US government but instead will take its marching orders from a business organization that will operate outside of US interests when it comes to pricing, establishing policy and tariffs. This policy seems to endorse a second tier of business interaction that operates outside of the law of the United States yet uses the United States for its own ends, an idea that clashes with the notion of the way America was conceived an how it should operate, creating a power structure that reports to no one except business interests, an idea where the people shall have no representation and no protections.

These and other decisions implemented in the last six years have caused many of us to wonder how protected we are in a nation where our rights are subject to being trampled upon and our freedoms easily dispensed with. Where do we go next? Confinement camps for those who do not agree?

It is cause for great concern and reason to convene other elder statesmen who also feel as if we have gone through a change of great magnitude that has changed the essential essence of what we perceive to be a democratic form of government.

It is in the best interests of the people to move such an agenda forward so that we may raise the questions and clear the air.

We hope that this idea is amenable to the great body of citizens who are also perplexed about their rights under a government where The Constitution and the Bill of Rights seem subservient to the powers that be in the expectation that we can reassert and give force to rulings that have at once defined us and made us great for all time.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Saying One Thing, Doing Another

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March 21, 2007




Comeuppance for the Great Patriot….


George Bush spends all his time voicing his concerns about democracy while at the very same time, he ignores the very documents on which this country was founded.

If he cared at all about democracy, would he go to war on such flimsy evidence that he couldn’t have possibly believed in? Hardly!. Would he have dispensed with habeas corpus. Posse Comitatus. Privacy as guaranteed under the Constitution? No. No. No..

If someone were to really believe in our way of life, would he do everything to destroy our environment? Would he postpone OSHA and Clean Air and Clean Water Acts so literally many thousands would come down with conditions caused by pollution of our air and water. Wouldn’t he really want to do the exact opposite?

Would he be so ready to embrace coal heat knowing that even in its cleaned up form, it’s blamed for killing twenty thousand a year?

Would he take such a cavalier attitude towards Global Warming in the knowledge that we are going to lose species that once were so much a part of this great land?
Wouldn’t he at least try to do something to lessen the effects of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere? Wouldn’t he rebel at the idea of dumping toxins in our Pacific Northwest, the breeding grounds of many species and the foundation of our food chain?
Would he be so ready to damn up the Columbia river knowing that it means death to the Pacific Salmon?
.
Wouldn’t he think twice about plundering our pristine areas? Wouldn’t he want to preserve the west as the beautiful place that it is instead of giving out more than two hundred licenses to drill indiscriminately? Wouldn’t he think twice about allowing mining companies to dig without cocern for what they are doing? And without responsibility for repairing the damage done?

If he really cared about America, wouldn’t he have tried to keep the jobs here? Wouldn’t he have discouraged green cards when we have plenty of talent right here? Wouldn’t he have done a better job of protecting the borders against illegals?

If he really cared about America wouldn’t he have wanted to see older people being taken care of? And young people provided with a good education that would allow them to move up the economic ladder?

If he was truly committed to what America stands for, wouldn’t he encourage people to conserve resources and get behind bold new initiatives to make America number one again? Wouldn’t he want to encourage research and science instead of criticizing their findings?

Wouldn’t he support programs for business and industry to stay here and build domestic work forces instead of watching management’s move their businesses and profits offshore?

If Bush & Company cared about America they would not try to alienate all of our friends in the world? Or play tough guy roles at the UN? Or turn our backs or play hard ball at the United Nations, one of the few instruments for peace in this world?

Wouldn’t he try to heal the rifts that exist in this country today….instead of coming out with things like “you’re either with us or against us!” Or if you don’t agree with our point of view, you are not a true patriot.

And if he really cared about America, would he write exceptions into the bills that serve America’s interests. He wouldn’t act like he was above the law and entitled to special privilege as the Kings of Old.

If he really cared about America, and he was religious as he said, he would get on his knees and pray for forgiveness for all of the bad decisions that he has made over the past six years that serve his agenda and not the best interests of the American people.

Amen….

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon
www.lesaaron.blogspot.com

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The 6,000 Walking Time Bombs

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March 21, 2007



60,000 GI’s are Walking Time Bombs…

Americans are being lulled with watered down reports of wounded coming out of Iraq and Afghanistan that doesn’t begin to describe the full challenges that face both our military and our society. .

. While figures are separated by branch of the service and whether an injury was accidentally sustained or occurred in the “line of duty,” the fact remains that the figures do not reflect a whole category of walking wounded who are either not diagnosed or considered fit for service. This category of wounded are those who suffer some sort of mental disability ranging from depression to feelings of suicide.

Among those who have been diagnosed, the terminology most used to describe their condition is Post Traumatic Stress Disorder; many who have been diagnosed with this condition, spend a day or two in counseling are considered cured and fit for service where, in actuality, they are walking time bombs ready to go off at any time.

Why hasn’t this condition, which had been previously referred to as battle fatigue, or being “shell shocked,” (WWI), been recognized and treated more aggressively by physicians and psychologists? Part of the reason has to do with the GI, themselves, who feel that by so doing that they would be an admission that they are less the man or that they have let down their fellow troopers.

The military, for all intents and purposes, remains a very macho establishment where those seeking aid for their condition may be ridiculed and criticized by their fellow men, sergeants and officers.

In discussions, many feel that an admission that they need help will affect their military records and advancement in their own units. Moreover, many so afflicted also feel guilty for their feelings resulting in additional internal conflicts that often cause one so affected to keep the problem to himself.

Many of these who have either been diagnosed or not but are still affected with the symptoms of PTSD will find themselves back on the front lines in eleven months after perhaps having already fulfilled one or two tours in Iraq.

According to independent studies, one out of six troops in Iraq return home suffer from
PTSD. If more than one million men and women have served to date in Iraq and Afghanistan, that translates into 60,000 cases of this form of psychological “wounding.”

Our failure to admit that many of our young troops may be suffering various forms of PTSD from depression to possible suicidal tendencies poses a danger to not only those they serve with but to their families and friends as well; moreover, it is an admission that the US military is unwilling to face the truth and deal with it in a forthright manner. This failing, as in other wars, will not simply go away but manifest deeper societal problems that will haunt American families far into the future and pose a cost that many are simply not prepared to acknowledge or prepare for as we hobble along in a dishonest war provoked by stubborn government bereft of critical thinking skills and caught up in their own agenda.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon
www.lesaaron.blogspot.com

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Iraq and Iran: A Future in Trade

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The Armchair Curmudgeon
March 20, 2007


Inevitable Relations Between Iran and Iraq
Downplayed by US


In listening to the rhetoric pouring out of the PR mills in Washington, we are being led to believe that Iran is the pinnacle of Evil; that what the Iranians excel in is exporting chaos and mayhem to Iraq but, upon further investigation, we discover that claim may not hold up.

Washington’s tendency to tell us only half the truth is exacerbated in its misleading claims about Iran’s role in Iraq.

The fact is that were it not for Iran’s participation in Iraq, the average Iraqi would know few creature comforts in these days when we can’t even get the power generators to stay on more than 8 hrs. and there are shortages of fuel all over the country.

Iran is not only supplying oil and other basic materials, it is also supplying manufactured products that help Iraqis to lead a normal life—from air conditioners to automobiles.

The truth is that there are scant figures being released by Iran with the exception of their estimated trade with the Kurds which they claim amounted to over one billion dollars last year; but it is clear that Iran’s trade with Iraq is burgeoning beyond anything anticipated.

Inasmuch as Iraq’s industries are devastated, and, for the most part, have not been able to supply Iraqi’s needs, were it not for the Iranian willingness to trade their lives would be much poorer.

And while few can forget the fact that Iraq had battled Iran for more than a dozen years, the fact is that, today, both countries are closer than ever.

Therefore, despite what the government tells its citizens, some Iraqis are finding a way out of the continuing morass by recognizing that the Iranian influence may not be as bad as once thought.

At the same time, Sunnis are seeking a solution in closer ties with their Sunni neighbors, Jordan and Syria and Syria has been involved with growing exports to Iraqis.

What Saddam had held together as one nation, seems to be finding some logic in dividing itself along the lines of its religious loyalties. One suspects that General Petraeus and the and Washington will have little influence on what happens as a result of growing trade among nations. And that more or less, in playing policeman, we have accomplished little else for our 400 billion dollar investment. It is too late in the game to have suggested that the truer path to any success might have been diplomacy as the facts seem to bear out..

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon
March 20, 2007

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March 20, 2007







Betweeen a Rock and a Hard Place…





What may have originally been perceived as a halcyon opportunity by democrats to remake congress, may, in fact, have been in actuality an opportunity for democrats to paint themselves into a dangerous corner and a saving grace for republicans….



….Think about it.



Democrats have had a difficult time in finding their sea legs and coming together to support one coherent program that supports democratic objectives which includes ending the war at the earliest possible time.

In the process of reaching accommodation, they have been perceived by a litany of critics as a party in disarray, an unequal opponent in the “war on terrorism….”



Nevertheless, polls reveal that support for Bush policy remains strong among registered Republicans.



Therefore, the Republicans have found an excellent scape-goat in the form of the democrats, and if they are smart, they may just be able to play the blame game to advantage casting them as the villians who are interfering with the progress of the war. Clearly, there are no good answers that will absolve democrats for anything they do…



It is an unbelievably clever trap that has virtually evolved in the deadlock with the Executive. . And, in many respects, the republicans could not have wished for more.



The danger for democrats is that they may not understand that anyway they move, may actually constitute a check-mate.



If the democrats push for holding back funds, the republicans can say they interfered with the progress of the war just as it was turning in their favor. The ball would be switched to the democrat’s court…



….Republicans can employ a similar argument, if democrats push too hard to remove troops from the battle ground.



If General Petraeus plans do not work out, the democrats can be villified as the reason “why.” Clearly, this view smacks of a cynical interpretation but it is what is already beginning to happen in the field.



The democrats, in effect, with their razor thin majority and a possible turn-coat senator within their ranks, have little advantage when it comes to the vote; but, nevertheless, they do have the power to investigate and use the power of the subpoena.



But if the democrats are perceived to misuse these powers, they can be said to be interfering with the pursuit of the war and operating in antithesis to the best interests of the United States.



On the other hand, if they overuse their powers, the republicans will quickly revert to name calling, charging the democrats with being anti-patriotic and supportive of terrorism, a catch all charge that casts the democrats in the roll of pacifist or worse.



Terrorism, per se, and all it connotes has supplanted the old anathema “communism” and we should recognize that our population is filled with those who are quick to label anyone who is against the war as the enemy without understanding the meaning of their accusations or the dangerous act of dividing everything into simplistic black and white. . In effect, there are many pawns who stand ready and abe to do the work of the administration in painting the democrats as “being soft on terror.” . And this is a dangerous ground for democrats to occupy.



No, what seemed to be an advantage for democrats eager to resurface and reshape the mantle of leadership has morphed into a position that is a mine field that can blow up at any time.. The democrats may actually discover that they are “damned” if they do; and “damned” if they don’t and that the future of democrats may hinge on the outcome. Incredibly, the democrats may have been the best thing to have happened to the republican cause in four years…



Les Aaron

The ArmchairCurmudgeon

www.lesaaron.blogspot.com

THE COMMITTEE FOR POSITIVE CHANGE

Monday, March 19, 2007

Time to Take Stock?

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March 19, 2007




Fragile Relationships We Don’t Seem to Recognize…

First, our government in bed with the private sector send us a chilling message: They've killed off hundreds of species. Yes, there is a direct connection between the pollution in the rivers and streams and the loss of valuable species.

But our government ignores the toll in pursuit of profits and moves on!

Then we start losing butterflies for consuming corn that is genetically mutated....

Forget about farm raised salmon; a very high percentage contain parasites and bacteria that result from the in-breeding.

Meanwhile, the Pacific salmon are being decimated by government’s control of dams along the Columbia river…

And our most beautiful Swordfish, the symbol of freedom, is so full of mercury that we can't eat them more than once a week without worrying about the effects on the brain....And that goes for tuna, albacore and other fish that used to part of our diets.

You have to watch your consumption of milk and beef because of genetic ingredients in the feed that helps the cows get bigger and meatier; and you have to be mindful of the fact that hormones in the milk are said to affect embryonic growth and development.

You don’t get a free ride on chicken either. The inspectors who are pressured to inspect a chicken every ten seconds has to check for 32 separate diseases, some of them can be fatal.

We've taken for granted the fact that the food chain begins in the area west of Alaska so we dump pollutants including toxic chemicals there with significant affect on krill that breed there and constitute the main source of food for most of the smaller fish.

OUr heating up of the waterways with coal's effluents and heavy metal by products has had a devastating affect on marshlands and coastal areas—areas that play a vital role in the foood chain; thereby, depleting the supply of fish that fuel the food chain...and disrupting the critical balance that keeps the oceans stocked with fish...

Now, our dogs are dying...
and we don't know why.

The truth is that up until now, we've been lucky.

Contaminated lettuce and other ailments caused by eating affecting foods only hint at the dangers we face.

Will our best friends persuade us that we must act now to get our priorities in order; or will we lose them, too…like the canaries in the miner’s lamp….

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon

"One Man's Meat...

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March 19, 2007







The Military Industrial Complex







Who seems to benefit most from untold injuries and endless wars?



Most of us have been brought up to believe in what is for all intents and purposes, a cynical notion, ‘what’s one man’s meat, is another’s poison…” But on the other hand,

It is generally distasteful for even the most cynical among us to assume that there are winners where grief and destruction abound.

But sadly that would be off the mark, too..

As difficult as it may be to wrap our minds about, even as a war unfolds around us to such an extent that many of us cannot bear what we see and hear, it is painful to learn that there are “winners” among the legions of “losers”…..



Most of the “winners” in such embroglios tend to garb themselves in the cloaks of anonymity; still others parade around us pretending that they are doing us outsized favors.



Who are the winners in such an affair? And like the grave diggers during the time of the plagues how do they endure?



They are the those in the top 1% of our economy who former president Eisenhower, also a five star general of the Army, warned us about: “The military industrial establishment.”



They are the ones you don’t hear about; don’t read about; but they are the ones who benefit from the grief of others. They are the ammo makers, the military technology purveyors, the weapons salespeople and manufacturers who make America the most fearsome Imperialists since the days of Rome…



There are several hundred companies in the US and their subcontractors, both here and abroad, who have been in this business since before we engaged in World War II who found out how to capitalize on the business of war. Today, they tap into the largest military budget that ever was, more than 400 billion dollars exclusive of special allocations, a budget shaped by terrorists armed with box cutters....

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In fact, when Eisenhower saw their power, he issued a belated warning to the American public that they should discourage the idea of a large standing army and a powerful industrial complex that controls such vast sums of money. He understood where such an imbalance leads. And clear eyed generals who are not caught up in this frenzy, will also admit that maintaining military budgets larger than the military budgets of all NATO members plus China and Japan leads one to always find a justification for War.



To make matters worse, we have set aside our treaties with one time adversaries to preach, instead, the notion of pre-emption where America can go to war on the assumption that others may be positioning themselves to threaten us. This would be pushing the Doomsday Clock closer to Armageddon even if we did have measured and judicious leaders capable of sound judgment; but in this environment, we can’t even count on that.

Meanwhile the weapons get bigger and bolder along with our willingness to use them to assert our Imperial authority. In the order of things, it is a bad time for most of us who respect law and order with the exception of the Military Industrial Complex whose strength and power is now instrumental in setting the course of government.



We can only hope that we shall survive long enough in this maelstrom for clear heads to prevail. And perhaps that is asking too much.



Les Aaron

The Armchair Curmudgeon…

www.lesaaron.blogspot.com



THE COMMITTEE FOR POSITIVE CHANGE

Be Wary of "Slam-Dunks!"

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March 19, 2007
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Be Wary of “Slam-Dunks!”

When I ask my friends what worries them most politically, most of them come back with a litany of answers ranging from the never ending Iraqi war and the mistaken policy of challenging the Iranians to complicating and bedeviling issues like the economy, the environment, health care and the status of American prestige through the rest of the world. There is no shortage of concerns that bear down on us, it seems, this election..

In short, American voters, by and large, tend to worry about both things they can do and things they can’t. B ut if punditry is as much a virtue as a vice, perhaps the most damning concern facing the democrats next year may be their own belief that they cannot lose.

What reinforces these concerns are the polls. As of now, looking at the polls, and one recently conductd by the NY Times, it is clear that while most republicans are unhappy with their own party and a majority believe that democrats will win this election; the opposite stands true for democrats. Among democrats, the feeling of 6 out of 10 democrats is that they are satisfied with their party and its candidates. Moreover, most believe that the republicans have only a 12% chance of winning the next election.
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What worries me most is that these polls may be a barometer of democratic apathy that is rooted in the conviction that this is a “democratic year;” that there is no possibility that the republicans can win again given the present challenges facing America!....

But that view connotes perhaps too much self confidence and a certain level of arrogance.

Democrats seem to win only when they are motivated and can get out the vote. To assume that the republicans are not going to come out of the gate in a feeding frenzy means a willingness to ignore the historical record. As we’ve seen before, democrats usually pay the price for being counter-intuitive.

But there is no doubt that despite their intentions, democrats have had trouble finding their center and articulating their core arguments—the reasons, per se, that the voters empowered them in the first place. In some respects, they have even painted a picture that at this time looks more discordant than an effective counter-balance to the republicans might suggest; this despite the fact that the “opposition party” has been bloodied repeatedly by bad decisions and what appears to be disunity even within their own ranks.

It would be a serious mistake to presume that democrats are automatically going to carry the day in 08.

It would also be unwise to underestimate the ability of the Republicans to take advantage of every democratic weakness in order to promote their perceived strengths. . For example, even now, some are suggesting that if America doesn’t win in Iraq, the fault will rest with the democrats for denying support to the president and his generals.

In view of what many of us agree will be a hard-fought election, Democrats should at this point be mobilizing their cadres to start spreading the word that an all out effort would not only be nice but essential if we hope to win in 08. .

It is already being suggested with the early primaries coming up in January, that the new candidate may be decided before the end of the first month of the new year. If that’s the case, the democrats can ill afford to sit on their proverbial laurels and expect to catch the gold ring at the same time. Democrats have to show that they possess the moxie to want to win. And that turn of mind, by itself, barring any surprises such as an attack on Iran, may rule the day.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon
www.lesaaron.blogspot.com
THE COMMITTEE FOR POSITIVE CHANGE

Finding the High Ground...

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March 18, 2007
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Is Move On getting old?

Some very valid points made in this argument against Move-On's failure to mobilize a more offensive strategy in the question of the Iraq War. It seems that while the government moves forward with its horseshoe in the boxing glove approach to pursuing its own interests, the best we are able to do is fight back with feathers...

At one time, Move On seemed an effective counterweight to government abuses; now it seems the organization has become weakened and attenuated. We see Bush socking it to the American voter over and over again and we stand silent vigils. Not that I have anything against vigils for the right reasons, but this gang likes it when they rip apart everything America stands for and all we can do is stand on the corner with a lighted candle. Where is our moxie?

My view is that Move On needs to find its backbone, and jetison its democratic passiveness. What we need is less a willingness to jetison what we stand for and more a commitment to standing our ground and fighting fire with fire. We hope that the democrats can do better than wringing our hands! More to the point, we hope that America's front line will not get decimated on the beaches before it reaches the higher ground.

les Aaron
the Armchair Curmudgeon

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Where Is America's Compassion...

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March 18, 2007
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Our Limited Compassion


For those of you blessed with long memories, it's hard to feel good about yourself and think back to what America did to our allies in Vietnam under Nixon and Kissinger.

For the most part, we abandoned a great many of our friends and allies in the final days. But even before that window closed, we had rushed to bring into America something like 140,000 Vietnamese people who had supported America during the War.

Now, flash forward.

Iraq circa this date: The ugly truth is that there are many Iraqi's who have supported the US cause as translators and aides who now find that they and their families are being targeted for helping us.

If they skip to some of the other border states, like Syria or Jordan, they discover that they can't find work or work is not allowed under the host government regulations. Most don’t want to settle for the limbo of Syria or Jordan; they want to come to America but find that they are being discouraged at every turn.

For many, the door has simply not been open for various reasons. To begin with, we have a very restrictive policy for Iraqis and most of those who process applications admit that they are instructed not to encourage immigration. In fact, some of those who aided Americans have been told it was their decision to make and they got compensated for the risk.

The ugly truth has now surfaced and now the government plans to open up America's doors to its friends in order to fend off a barrage of bad publicity.

But although the demand is great, the increases have only been infinitesimal. To meet the needs of over 1 million prospective immigrants, America has agreed to accept only 7,000 Iraqis this year--only a drop in the bucket when you consider that millions are fleeing to new homes anywhere they can relocate in order to provide shelter and protection for their families. And, most Americans would be embarrassed to learn that many of the European nations have showed more compassion to these poor dislocated Iraqis than America’s government.

To date, it has been estimated that more than one million, including many innocent Iraqi women and children, have died as a result of this war. It is sad that we have so little compassion that we cannot see it within our hearts to admit those who have demonstrated their courage by volunteering their support to the American effort.

The knowledge of America’s inhospitality to its allies will reverberate around the Middle East and in the end, it will come back to haunt us. Guaranteed.

Les Aaron
The Armchair Curmudgeon
www.lesaaron.blogspot.com

Military On Shifting Ground...

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March 17,2007



The Big Question: How long can the military hold on?



Critics of the Pentagon’s policy including a number of retired generals, have stated and restated the military is spread dangerously thin and is in danger of collapsing…



This was before the current “surge” policy. Nevertheless, Bush & Cheny who block out everything they consider "negative," actually up the ante in Iraq and commit more support to Afghanistan.



What’s going on?





It's no secret that reenlistments are headed down and that the military is being forced to pay outlandish bonuses to keep its trained cadre in important MOS positions; but this strategy is insufficient to sustaining a military that employs the latest technology and military hardware.



National Guard units and Reserves are pressed. An increasing number of wounded are flooding our hospitals and creating shortages in critical skills areas.



Our weapons and vehicles need to be refurbished; some of the equipment out there dates back to the sixties if not before.



In short, our military is facing more pressure than at any time since it has transitioned into an all volunteer force.



Senators and Congressmen complain that a total volunteer army has created an underclass that does all the sacrificing and removes the rest of us from any commitment and that may be true.



But the real concern is how is the US going to fill the ranks of those in critical skills areas.



Right now, recruiters have found that they have had to lower their sights to fill their quotas and recruiters are even accepting those with histories of criminal and anti-social behavior.



This does not auger well for the future of an all volunteer army in the face of increasing demands from "hot spots" around the world.



Some at the highest levels of government are starting to actually use the dreaded "D" word to reflect what they are considering in the wake of our failures to maintain an army that is capable and ready should it be called on to meet unanticipated demands in different parts of the world. .



As of now, many retired generals and elder statesmen are questionning the wisdom of getting bogged down in situations that could deteriorate into long term commitments that we cannot afford under present thinking.



The indications are that the cracks in the military are beginning to show and unless some new thinking is injected quickly, may rapidly spin out of control.



Les Aaron

The Armchair Curmudgeon