"The End is Near"





Do you remember the derelict types who used to hang outside of Automats with their signs about the World Coming to an End….and you would look at them as if they came from another planet.



Guess what? I think it may be time to get out the signs again.



I never thought that I would say that but there are convincing reasons that those signs should be aimed at the democratic party.



If you are a star-gazer, you probably know that before a star dies, it gives forth a burst of energy as if it were in the very prime of its existance. .



We seem to be in that phase now…



In fact, everything looks good. We’ve got two good if not great candidates and the republicans are in disarray; but things tend to look a lot better than they are.



And this is typically the case.



For one, when all is said and done, the out of touch seventy one year old McCain is only within the margin of error of winning no matter who is up against.



How can that be?



Where is the logic?

People want to put as much distance as possible between themselves and Bush & Co.


The conservatives support Huckabee.



The Evangelicals are not sure whether they will support the republicans.



And there are more independents than there are republicans.



Obama has swept away the barriers to cross-over voting and winning the Independents which he has done handily.



So what’s wrong?



What’s wrong is the success of each candidate past Super Tuesday when most pundits thought that the primary would be settled one way or another.



The current thinking is that we may go into the convention with neither candidate controlling enough votes to win.



With Hillary being swept aside by the last primaries and Obama looking increasingly like the ‘front runner,’ she has very options.



Her advisers tell her that she has to make Obama fail for her to gain ascendancy.



And Hillary does not like to lose.



That means a debate very unlike the one in Hollywood before Super Tuesday.



Hillary has got to make Obama look poorly informed or hit on his lack of preparedness or find some kind of flaw in his background or record.



This will not be easy; nor will it lighten the mood.



So, count on this; things are bound to get messy!



If vileness and vituperation and claim and counter claim are what is remembered, it could leave a very bitter residue of bad feelings.



And it will color the convention.



If Obama is still winning, and Hillary supporters push the delegates to throw their weight her way, it could actually result in a break in the party that may not be healed for generations.



The other option is revisiting Michigan and Florida, both of which Hillary won.

But giving each candidate all of the remaining delegates will not in itself result in a win.



So we are left between a rock and a hard place.



Howard Dean has anticipated this and doesn’t want to go to convention with the prospect of major discord….so we’ll have to see how they manage to mollify both sides.



My guess is that they will divide the delegates and both votes and give each half.



Of course, whatever happens it can only help McCain and that is the worry.



Pundits from the past have always said that the election is the democrats to lose.



And never was the point more insightful than it is now as we prepare for Texas, Pennsylvania and Ohio.



What happens there, will not stay in either place; but it may just change the shape and even the existence of the party of the people.



Be forewarned.



Les Aaron

The committee for Positive Change

hubmaster@aol.com.


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