Motives That Shape History

The Cynical View: Where We Are Now and Where Are We’re Headed?…

Predicated on the view that history is just motivations acted out and wrapped in facts, I offer up the following explanation of what is happening here and now in the pivotal corners of the world.

To understand what is happening, we might choose to begin by asking ourselves a few questions that might help to explain the human motivations behind the facts that dominate our media and perhaps also explore some of the less publicized events. The objective viewer must learn that government's including our own know how to influence the media to publish only what they want published; consequently, if we stop there, we are then being guided to accept their subjective view of events as they unfold.


For example, why has Russia been so cooperative over the past five years?
Why has America not slapped China's hand even though we caught them red-handed in the cookie jar? Why have we set up bases in Afghanistan and neighboring countries that are increasingly looking permanent? Should we read something into that? These and other questions yet unanswered indicate that policy is going on at several levels, some at eye level, some not!

Forget the War and the causes of the War. These are simply distractions meant to confuse us; the real war operates on another level and it has to do with the biggest motivator of all, self interest; it is the subordinate text in this case. It is simply not viewed because the War magicians have clouded our eyes. . And that self-interest right now is focused like a laser on assets. And the asset most in demand? You guessed it: Oil.

Here's my harsh assessment: We will never leave the Middle East or Iraq; not as long as there is a drop of oil left beneath the desert sands!

Okay, let's go beyond that. How do our ambitions fit with those of the Russian bear?
First of all, Putin has vast resources of oil that he would like to tap into but he does not have the resources. He needs us for this purpose and we have entered into agreements to assist Russia in developing this most important resource--the answer to Russia's problems right now.
Strange bedfellows! But each recognizes that the other fills a temporary need...

Secondly, Bush is interested in capitalizing on both those resources and others in the Caspian. I expect in their own self-interest, Russia and Bush have neatly divided up the existing oil resources and those yet to be pumped out of Siberia. Of course, when the move to Afghanistan was approved subsequent to 9/11, one thing was clear we were there not only to capture or kill bin Laden, but to also protect the path of a future oil supply.

There is another thing at stake here, China. Russia is scared witless of China; it always has been. China is also hungry for resources and their territory borders states that are accessible to either oil sources or the pipeline. And that's another reason we are there.

China is extraordinarily aggressive and ambitious in its plans. Their initiatives simply dwarf anything that we are doing or hope to do. And to drive their ambitions, they need clear and untrammeled access to oil.

Both Bush and Putin concur that China poses the real threat to their hegemony.

Notice that very little information has been published in the leading media on the real challenges between east and west. Much of this has to do with the pressures exerted on the media to turn out non-controversial smiley face news that makes this administration look good; the mantra seems to be exise the bad, include the good--or Uncle Cheney will smash you down! Too bad because government using its influence that way deprives the people of needed information needed to exercise their franchise.

The truth is that China is a gathering storm for the intentions of the leaders of both countries. They are already tapping into our agency's computers with increasing frequency and, yet, there has been no attempt to curb their appetite for knowledge about what we are doing all over the world. Nor have the Chinese been sitting idly by while the US has been squandering its wealth and its attentions on the Middle East. They have been forming new and rock-solid alliances all over the place with our former allies assuring them dependable sources of minerals and materials.

In the eyes of China, we have been reduced to an exporter of scrap. They have already plundered our technology through one way deals that have put us at a military disadvantage and it will not be long before they can compete with us militarily. One well-placed nuclear weapon in our atmosphere would render all electronic communication useless. These are facts. But the harshest fact of all is that our debt imbalance with China is so great that they for all intents and purposes own America.

What will happen when economic and geographic ambitions overlap? What we don’t know at this point in time is the true motivations of the individual players. Understanding who and what we are up against not to mention the motivations of our own leadership is paramount to understanding our future.

And viewed from the historical perspective, there is not much room for optimism.


Les Aaron